Home » Tag Archives: Rundt Intelligence

Tag Archives: Rundt Intelligence

Country Risk Climate:  TRENDS TO KEEP AN EYE ON

Canada – lower interest rates, lower CAD; Denmark – a leaf out of the Swiss book; European Union – full steam ahead with QE; Portugal – paying off IMF debt early; Saudi Arabia — nervousness about the royal succession; Yemen – chaos in a failed state. CHINA:  The widely advertised slowdown was not exactly big news when details were announced. ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Botswana – general elections tomorrow are likely to return the long-ruling President Khama and his BDP to power, but with a diminished majority; Italy – the European Commission has misgivings about PM Renzi’s budget; Switzerland – banks have problems with the US Justice Department’s demands. INDIA:  Prime Minister Modi may not be as quick and aggressive with his economic reform ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Macedonia – elections to watch; Moldova – the next domino after Crimea? Turkey – prospects for the lira; Ukraine – a massive interest rate hike; Venezuela – dire currency forecast. ALGERIA:  There is no doubt that today’s presidential elections will be won by the incumbent Bouteflika. Less certain is in what physical shape he is and whether he will launch ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Argentina – plans to cut subsidies; Brazil –– inflation and political trends trouble Ms. Rousseff; Iran – a big deal underscoring the fading of sanctions; New Zealand – higher interest rates; Pakistan – improving international liquidity. CYPRUS:  Top-level talks aiming to reunite the Island are, once again, under way, and this time the chances look better than before. While the ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep on Eye On

Argentina – A new CPI to come and an end to the soybean “strike;” Ghana – predictions of a large further devaluation; Kenya – arrest of CB President ordered; Turkey – a yawning current-account BoP deficit; Venezuela – protest demonstrations. AUSTRALIA:  The Reserve Bank seems to have accepted the AUD’s strength and has ended its two-year monetary easing cycle. The ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: TRENDS TO KEEP AN EYE ON

Argentina – more exchange controls and more misleading official data; Costa Rica – a Left-leaning President? Morocco – FX liberalization to lure funds from abroad. BRAZIL:  President Rousseff, at Davos, worked hard to regain investor confidence in Brazil, which has been shaken by deteriorating external accounts, accelerating inflation and slowing growth. Interest rates will have to be increased further as ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Canada – a telling foreign trade deficit; Kuwait – yet another Cabinet reshuffle; Tunisia – hope that the IMF will be satisfied. BRAZIL: The real has steadied in the FX markets thanks to promises that the CB will extend its intervention program and in expectation of higher interest rates, even though the economy has clearly weakened. The political outlook remains ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Brazil – the worst trade result since 2000; Indonesia – external improvements apt to be sustained; Sweden – lowered economic expectations and worries about a housing bubble; Sri Lanka – brushing off IMF advice. CHINA: The CB has succeeded in calming the financial markets, following a flurry of speculation that a cash crunch may be threatening banks and the economy. ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Barbados – critical problems; Ivory Coast — return to the international bond markets; Latvia – about to adopt the euro; Somalia – a new Premier; Ukraine – a deal between Kiev and Moscow AUSTRALIA:  The AUD’s prospects are for continued softness as the Reserve Bank persists in its efforts to talk the unit down, the government’s budget deficit has widened, ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Argentina – higher taxes on credit card use; Denmark – the leadership is regaining popularity; Dominican Republic – finding itself at odds with CARICOM; Italy – consequences of Berlusconi’s ouster from parliament. EGYPT: The new draft constitution aims in the main to enshrine the military’s powers and freedom from civilian oversight.  Relations with the US have deteriorated, as have those ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Czech Republic – forceful FX intervention; Hungary – record-low interest rates; Latvia – a remarkable show of accountability; Venezuela – novel ways of garnering dollars. GERMANY:  There is still a risk that the formation of a Grand Coalition may run into difficulties. This will keep uncertainties high for the next couple of weeks.  Ultimately, though, a government is likely to ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Croatia: – the credit rating is now “junk status” across the board; Singapore – more restrictions on imported employees; Sri Lanka – a noteworthy election; Turkey – a top-level acknowledgement that the EU bid may fail. BRAZIL: Inflation has slowed and the real has stabilized in the FX markets thanks to policy decisions by Banco Central and the Fed. Still, ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Cyprus – a plea in vain for a revamp of the rescue terms; Indonesia – higher interest rates to shore up the rupiah; Morocco – the government is in jeopardy and may have to call early elections. ALBANIA:  The country has a new Prime Minister and a new President, but this is not likely to derail the drive to join ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Australia – Kevin Rudd is back as Premier Argentina – official FX reserves are dwindling and the creation of a new kind of funny money Ecuador – thumbing its nose at the US; Mongolia – a re-elected President; Qatar – an unusual succession story. Sierra Leone – bankers and others are banned from travelling abroad without police clearance; Thailand – ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On Czech Republic – another close call for the government; Ethiopia – dealing a rebuff to Egypt; Italy – local elections give PM Letta a boost; Luxembourg – twin votes of no confidence in parliament; Sudan – still arguing with the South; Switzerland – an arrow into the heart of bank secrecy. ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On!

Australia – slow growth, but no interest rate cut; Ghana – a remarkable court case; Latvia – Brussels gives the green light for Eurozone entry; Poland – the CB is not at the end of its easing cycle yet; Venezuela – shortages of dollars and basic goods going from bad to worse. Further news in this report:  FINLAND:  The country ... Read More »

Global Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On!

Bulgaria – a new attempt to form a government; Ghana – higher interest rates to support the cedi; Kyrgyzstan – political machinations concerning the Manas air base; Taiwan – FX curbs to hold the TWD down Other countries covered by this report: CYPRUS – The Island has received its first disbursement from the bailout package … JAMAICA – The government ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Country Risk Climate:  Trends to Keep an Eye On Brazil – new rules for bank failures; France – back in recession; Libya – Sharia law causes lending crunch; Peru – economic slow-down; Venezuela – dollars for dividend remittances? ANGOLA – The economic outlook remains bright, as world market prices for Angolan oil will stay high and output will rise … ... Read More »