Home » Tag Archives: Country Risk by Rundt Intelligence

Tag Archives: Country Risk by Rundt Intelligence

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

Denmark – more controls on immigrants, more plebiscites; Jamaica – the bond rating agencies are optimistic; Moldova – a staggering level of graft and corruption; Tanzania – borrowing to replace aid. ANGOLA:  Now that the impact of the global fall in oil prices is being fully felt, dollars are scarce, which has led to remittance delays, and the government has ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

Burundi – new election deadlines and more violence; China – growing international use of the yuan; Greece – down to the wire; Uzbekistan – unusually volatile black currency market. CANADA:  Extreme weather and the global oil price drop hit the economy in the first quarter. While the weather effect is passing, oil will have a negative influence for some time. ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Brazil – putting the inflation fight ahead of economic stimulation; Chile – downward revised predictions; Ecuador – banks now must accept the dinero electronico; Greece – brinkmanship down to the wire. ARGENTINA:  There is less optimism now that whoever replaces Pres. Fernandez in the October elections will be able to liberalize regulations and turn the economy around quickly. Meanwhile, the ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep and Eye On

Brazil – important legislative victories for Ms. Rousseff; Denmark – a rosier economic picture; Guatemala – the political crisis is widening; Mexico – downward revision of growth expectations; Sweden – the markets are testing the Riksbank; Venezuela – the bolivar heads for the basement. GUINEA: The economy has been hard hit by the effects of Ebola. Even with outside help it ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Brazil – negotiations to freeze budget spending; Dominican Republic – strong growth, robust peso; Georgia – benefitting from its Western connections; Tanzania – the shilling has fallen to an all-time low. EGYPT: President al-Sisi is doing well in polishing Egypt’s international image and, importantly, in paving the way for an economic rebound. Most of the indicators are now pointing in ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Australia – a cautious budget, not too tough but still disciplined; Peru – popular resistance keeps many mining projects in limbo; Slovenia – a political crisis has been avoided. BRAZIL:  The outlook for the economy remains bleak, beclouded, as it is, by three uncertainties that could raise havoc as they conflate. One of them is the pernicious corruption scandal that ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Australia – the aussie at par with the kiwi, almost; Japan – a credit downgrade that makes little sense; Kazakhstan – an apology for an overwhelming election victory; Sweden – struggling to keep the exchange rate down; Venezuela – down to having to hock gold. ALBANIA:  The country remains on track to join the EU – eventually – but much ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends To Keep an Eye On

Mauritius – the rupee seems to have regained its balance; Trinidad & Tobago – shortages of FX still persist, delaying payments; Venezuela – worsening relations with the US. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA:  The European Union has decided to move ahead with a pre-accession pact, in the hope that the Bosnian leadership will stick to its reform commitments. This is a considerable ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Jamaica – new investment laws & regulations in the making; Turkey – the lira’s depreciation hurts companies carrying FX debt; Uzbekistan – a steep drop of the sum; Vietnam – the economy continues to do well. ARMENIA:  The country has been painfully sideswiped by the troubles besetting the Russian economy, having just joined the Moscow-led EEU. Strategic reasons persuaded Yerevan ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Tajikistan – an unwitting but hard-pressed victim of Russia’s troubles; Thailand – a lifting of martial law, but in name only; United Arab Emirates – new, more relaxed rules governing IPOs. ARGENTINA: A slew of measures to benefit consumers are being unveiled as the country prepares for elections, but they will not do much to crank the ailing economy into higher ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Belarus – stirring up the potash market; Middle East – alarming developments in Yemen that open up a new front in the Sunni-Shia confrontation; Nigeria – on the eve of potentially troubled elections; Tajikistan – FX crisis made in Russia; Ukraine – financial help may have to wait. AUSTRALIA:  The coming weekend may pose a new political challenge for the ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Denmark – a concession to commercial banks; Georgia – renewed proof of Russia’s expansionism; Norway – toward lower interest rates; Sweden – the Riksbank doubles down on its monetary easing. BRAZIL: The real is taking a beating in the midst of a near-perfect storm of troubles. For now, the Central Bank has stopped supporting it, but there is anyway little ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Indonesia – a special tax on imports of raw materials; Korea (South) – joining the bandwagon in the direction of looser monetary policies; Thailand – lower interest rates as well; Ukraine – the IMF is granting a USD 17.5-billion bailout. ALGERIA: To preserve the country’s stability through the Arab Spring, the regime has relied heavily on a mix of police power ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Czech Republic – still a tug of war over the exchange rate cap; Hong Kong – a budget with a number of sweeteners; Singapore – the first increase in the top income tax rate in decades; Ukraine – a ban on commercial FX trading. AZERBAIJAN:  The CB abandoned efforts to keep the manat stable in the face of plunging oil ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

Botswana – lower interest rates; Czech Republic – speculation that the FX cap may come off; Indonesia – reverse course for interest rates; Mexico – keeping an eye peeled on US trends. ARGENTINA:  The President’s final months in office are promising to be even more turbulent than her administration has been to date, overshadowed by debt and economic problems and ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: TRENDS TO KEEP AN EYE ON

Kazakhstan – headed for the next devaluation? Paraguay – credit rating upgraded; Sweden – an unprecedented credit and monetary stimulus; Venezuela – yet another “new” FX market. DENMARK: The Kingdom is still battling forces trying to separate the krone from the euro, and for now it should be able to hold the line. The interesting thing is that if the ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate:  TRENDS TO KEEP AN EYE ON

Canada – lower interest rates, lower CAD; Denmark – a leaf out of the Swiss book; European Union – full steam ahead with QE; Portugal – paying off IMF debt early; Saudi Arabia — nervousness about the royal succession; Yemen – chaos in a failed state. CHINA:  The widely advertised slowdown was not exactly big news when details were announced. ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

Argentina – a new government confrontation with farmers; Ecuador – massively growing indebtedness to China; India – the long-awaited interest rate cut; Madagascar – the government resigns; Switzerland – a shock decision by Nationalbank; Uganda – heavy pressures on the shilling. CROATIA:  President-elect Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic will have to accept a possibly contentious cohabitation with the incumbent Social-Democrat-led government at least ... Read More »