Home » Tag Archives: Country Risk

Tag Archives: Country Risk

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

Bahrain – elections that fail to unite; Central Asia – the Russian ruble’s nosedive is having repercussions across the region; Iran – the good and the bad of a missed deadline; OPEC – how to sustain a cartel in a bear market. CAYMAN ISLANDS:  The economy appears to have moved onto a stronger growth track after a period of relatively ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Argentina – between a rock and a hard place; Colombia – signs pointing to further interest rate hikes; Venezuela – FX exchange rules for tourists CANADA:  The economy’s performance is not bad, although the news continues to be rather mixed. The two main weaknesses are a somewhat risky housing market and Canada’s dependence on the US as a market for ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Macedonia – elections to watch; Moldova – the next domino after Crimea? Turkey – prospects for the lira; Ukraine – a massive interest rate hike; Venezuela – dire currency forecast. ALGERIA:  There is no doubt that today’s presidential elections will be won by the incumbent Bouteflika. Less certain is in what physical shape he is and whether he will launch ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Finland – a reshuffled government and modest economic expectations; Haiti – a major Cabinet reorganization; Slovenia – question marks over the government’s survival chances. CHINA: Investors in yuan are now on notice that there is a two-way risk and this makes US warnings on the currency rather meaningless. With economic softness persisting, the authorities are taking steps to stabilize growth. ... Read More »

Transparency International Corruption Index 2013: Corruption Still a Big Problem

Transparency International has just released its Corruption Index 2013 which rates corruption perceptions in 177 countries around the world.   Unfortunately, more than two thirds of the 177 countries in the 2013 index score below 50, on a scale from 0 (perceived to be highly corrupt) to 100 (perceived to be very clean).  The average country score this year is 43/100 ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Can Eastern Europe ever Catch Up?

The latest assessment of the economies of Eastern Europe from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is not very encouraging.  The report flatly states that nations in Eastern Europe, on the whole, will remain far behind their western counterparts for a very long time unless there is a strong re-commitment to the reforms undertaken in the years right ... Read More »

Emerging Asia: Coface Warns of Growing Risks Linked to Household Debt

The growth potential in Asia remains high, driven by the middle class Asian economies have weathered the double blow of the global crisis of 2008-2009 and that of the sovereign debt of the Eurozone, due notably to the dynamic consumption of their households.  For example, since 1995 per capita consumption has almost tripled in China and has more than doubled ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Iceland – a CB warning of private-sector repayment risks; Norway – a new government stronger than it seems; Paraguay – a generally positive economic picture; Slovenia – threats to the government and its attempts to avoid an international bailout. AUSTRIA:  Efforts are underway to form another Grand Coalition in the wake of the elections. The economy has been moving sideways, ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Country Risk Climates:  Trends to Keep an Eye On Azerbaijan – very large weapons purchases; Costa Rica – the biggest investment project to date has been suspended; India – efforts to support the plunging rupee; New Zealand – less growth than anticipated; Syria – pandemonium in currency trading. Other countries mentioned in this report: Afghanistan:  Now in the midst of ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Hong Kong – a damaging strike.  In an important legislative development, the government has dropped attempts to restrict public access to the personal details of company directors.  This is a victory for transparency! Korea (North) – this time is different and more dangerous; Portugal – the government survived a no-confidence motion; Syria – a questionable promise that the currency will ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends to Keep an Eye On

China – new visa requirements; Czech Republic – a vote about the government’s existence; Ecuador – the irony of the asylum for WikiLeaks founder Assange; India – relaxed rules for overseas borrowing; Japan – an unexpected trade deficit; Romania – President Basescu can stay in office; Tajikistan – a minor civil war has come to an end. Other countries listed ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trends To Keep An Eye On

Eurozone – The sovereign debt crisis seems to have entered a new and potentially more dangerous stage, now involving Spain and Italy in addition to Greece, Portugal and Ireland. What to expect… To read the full story click on the attachment:  Weekly Focus 7-14-11 This page is provided by S.J. Rundt & Associates, Inc., specialists in country risk assessment, consultants ... Read More »

Country Risk: Trends to Keep an Eye On

Weekly Focus 2-10-11  To read the full story on Trends to keep an eyo on click on the attachment India – a host of problems making payments to Iran; Jordan – a new government with a more conservative bent; Pakistan – the Cabinet has been replaced with a smaller one to save money. This page is provided by S.J. Rundt ... Read More »

Global Risk Climate: Trends To Keep An Eye On

Weekly Focus 1-27-11    To read the full story click on the link above Australia – an income tax surcharge to pay for flood damage; Belgium – still no government and the risk of a lowered credit rating; Japan – S&P’s has pared the country’s rating; Nigeria — tightened monetary and credit policies; Spain – a new push to clean up ... Read More »